Nakikitaan ng bahagyang pagbagal ang hawahan ng coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) sa National Capital Region (NCR) matapos na bumaba ang reproduction number nito sa 4.69, mula sa dating 6.16 nitong Enero 2.
Nilinaw ni OCTA Research fellow Dr. Guido David, ang naturang pagbaba ng reproduction rate, o bilang ng mga taong maaaring ihawa ng sakit ng isang pasyente, ay indikasyon nang bahagyang pagbagal ng trend.
Ani David, magandang senyales ito, gayuman, nagpaalala sa publiko na dapat pa ring maging maingat at tumalima sa ipinaiiral na health at safety protocols ng pamahalaan upang hindi dapuan ng sakit.
“The reproduction number in the NCR decreased to 4.69 as of January 8, 2022. The reproduction number had been higher than 5 since December 30, 2021, when the outbreak in the NCR started,” tweet pa ni David.
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“A decreasing reproduction number indicates that the trend is slowing down. One way to think of this is a decreasing growth rate – cases are still rising but a slower pace.This is a good sign. Until then, let us stay safe everyone and follow best healthpractices,” saad pa ni David.
“In past surges, a peak is always preceded by a decreasing reproduction number. Are we close to the peak in NCR? Hopefully. Because the trends being observed are based on limited data, there is still uncertainty when the peak might happen,” aniya pa.
Mary Ann Santiago
